by knightkrawler » June 4th, 2015, 11:46 am
Are you kidding? I'm one of the few people who enjoy a football game tactically* and try to analyze what's happening as it progresses.
I and tasoe are the only sports nerds in here, as far as I know.
* I don't understand why the really great teams, I mean those with the appropriate player material, don't play a back three against opponents who set out in a 4-4-2 more often.
With a back four both CB's are taken on by the opponent's CF's which is dangerous and why one DF has to come deep to become a third CB, thus being disconnected from the passing triangles through midfield and wings. A back three would have a CB to cover and step up on occasion to play balls. Hummels would be perfect for that, between Sokratis and Subotic, both playing on their inside foot. The WB's (Durm and Piszczek/Großkreutz) would provide width and have freedom to go through to the touchline. There's still three midfielders who could overrun the opponent in the centre of the park (Bender, Mkhitaryan, Kampl vs. 2). In case the opponent's CF'c step back to overload midfield, Hummels can step up substantially, hitting even more accurate and dangerous balls. Immobile's strength could play out best next to a second CF, Aubameyang. Of course, Reus will take that second spot if he stays. There's one weakness: one WB on either side against a FB and a WM each which could account for some trouble over the wings. But pressing out of possession would mean for the left-channel CF to cover the opponen't RB and the right-channel CF to cover the opponent's LB. The only safe passes to uncovered teammates the opponent could play would be a triangle of two CB's and one DM, which can devastatingly be interrupted by Auba's lightning speed.
This is how I think Thomas Tuchel, Borussia Dortmund's new coach, will try to set out into games, at least as long as it works without Dortmund sliding into a relegation zone. A second season with this they will go for titles and Champions League again. There's some positions who need to be addressed with the acquiring of top-quality players: a GK, a left WB, a DM (and I mean defensive, not a passer like Gündogan is) and a CF to cover for Immobile or replace him. Another strong fast CM would help, too. When playing this system, Kagawa could be the second striker and drop deep to overload midfield even more in build-up play if Reus leaves.
All in all, I predict Tuchel will try to implement this 3-5-2 or even a variation of a Marcelo Bielsa-style 3-3-3-1 with the following setup:
Langerak - Sokratis, Hummels, Ginter (Subotic; but Ginter must be finally trusted, constantly playing games) - Piszczeck, Bender, Durm - Aubameyang, Kagawa, Reus - Immobile
with fluid positioning and heavy pressing.
I'll come back to this thread once my predicitons have proven true. The player material is there even as is. With some lucky improvements in some positions... who knows what this formation could be capable of. The acquisition of Gonzalo Castro has been confirmed. He will be shuttling CM material and can play RB or even right WB if he's fast enough for that job. Definitely a utility player suited for both formations and sets of requirements. In the old system which I doubt we'll see often if one of these two is successful, he can play next to Bender as a DM, as a RB, or even as the #10. He's luxury to have in any team once he's settled.
This is an example. And I'm not even close to being a Borussia Dortmund fan.