Count Mohawk wrote:A Polar Warbear miss, with its 4 dice, will only happen 6% of the time.
To be precise (for the math lovers among us

): each die has a chance of 50% to roll a Skull, 50% to roll something else. The chance to roll
at least 1 Skull is equal to 100% minus the chance to roll no Skulls at all. With a chance of 50% (i.e. 0.5) for each die to come up with a "non-Skull", the chance of two dice equals 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25 to yield no Skull. For three dice, that's 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.125 and for four, the result is 0.0625. Or as Count Mohawk stated, 6.25% chance that the Polar Warbear rolls no Skulls at all during its attack an as such, 93.75% chance to roll at least 1 Skull.